MARGIN OF ERROR: Bush calls the result

BBC Radio News broadcast following Bush quote: "I'm confident we're going to Kerry Ohio. I'm confident we're gonna Kerry the whole nation!" You said it, Dubya. Great Freudian.

Meanwhile, Laura Rozen has another bunch of exit polls as follows, plus some "unattributable" Democratic polls:

Nationwide: 50-49

Ohio 52-48
Florida 52-48
Pennsylvania 60-40
New Hampshire 58-41
Arizona 44-55
Wisconsin 52-47
Minnesota 58-40
Michigan 51-48
New Mexico 50-49
Iowa 49-49
New Jersey 56-43
Virginia 49-50
Arizona 45-55
Colorado 41-58
Missouri 45-55
West Virginia 40-54
North Carolina 47-52
Louisiana 42-57

2) NOON NUMBERS FROM DEMOCRATIC SOURCES...BEAR IN MIND THAT DUE TO EARLY VOTING, ALL EXIT POLLS THIS YEAR WILL BE SOMETHING OF AN EXPERIMENT...WE WILL SEND ALONG NEW NUMBERS AS THEY COME IN...

Florida - 30 percent of state -- 53-47 for Kerry

Iowa 57 to 41 percent for Kerry (compared to about +6 margin in early vote
in 2000)

Oregon - early vote (which is the whole electorate) 53 to 47 percent for Kerry

New Mexico 51-48 for Kerry

Nevada 48 to 50 with Bush ahead

Some more, from the Daily Kos:

Kerry Bush

PA 53 46
FL 51 49
NC 48 52
OH 51 49
MO 46 54
AR 47 53
MI 51 47
NM 50 49
LA 43 56
CO 48 51
AZ 45 55
MN 54 44
WI 52 47
IA 49 49

Not quite as hot, but it's going the right way. Rich Hall on BBC2 TV: "The real divide in this nation is between the stupid and the really stupid"