Sunday, December 19, 2010

an infallible scheme for redesigning Britain

This paper in PLoS One is fascinating (if heavily blogged already). Basically, BT let some researchers from MIT, Cornell, UCL, and their own R&D division have an anonymised slice through their call-detail record (CDR) pile, the database from which phone bills are calculated. The scientists filtered out all the numbers that only made or accepted calls, in order to get rid of the call centres and spammers, and drew the rest as a massive directed multi-graph network. The conclusions are fascinating; in human terms, Wales isn't a meaningful unit, and neither is England. Scotland, however, forms a well defined sub-graph.

Instead, Wales splits into three geographic tiers with very little interconnection. These regions don't respect the border at all - not surprisingly, the northern tier is completely integrated with Liverpool and Manchester and the central tier with the West Midlands. South Wales is clearly identified, with a sharply defined border along the water between it and the West Country. There's also a well-defined western border to Yorkshire, and interestingly also between the West and South Ridings but not between them and the North Riding. Essex is an extension of London, but Kent is distinct. So is Norfolk.

In fact, England isn't really identifiable on the maps: surprisingly, the administrative units that fit best to the BT data are the EU regions much hated by 'kippers. More broadly, if it's got a recognisable accent, it's a recognisable presence on the graph - although the big exception is Yorkshire. There's even a territory for people with no recognisable accent, a sort of motorway crescent to the west of London which is described as a "tech corridor" - in fact, if you were to draw all the Formula One teams' workshops on the map, they would essentially all fall within it, as would Vodafone, O2, Cable & Wireless, and 3UK's headquarters, Aldermaston, Eidos, Surrey Satellite Tech, chunks of BAE and Thales, and Electronic Arts UK, so perhaps they have a point. In the end, though, this potentially interesting zone - Ballardia? - gets lumped in with the Cameroonian central-southwest.

3 comments:

chris y said...

What's a South Riding? There's a South Yorkshire, I live in it, but it was made up in 1972 out of half the West Riding and a small chunk of Nottinghamsire. Not a Riding

Anonymous said...

More broadly, if it's got a recognisable accent, it's a recognisable presence on the graph - although the big exception is Yorkshire.

That makes perfect sense, though, doesn't it? People who talk most to each other are most likely to have the same accent. People brought up talking mostly to each other have mostly similar accents.

In a sense, accent-regions are the most natural regions, because it identifies the most natural sort of
communities: communities of social interaction via speech.

Laban said...

"Wales isn't a meaningful unit, and neither is England. Scotland, however, forms a well defined sub-graph."

Wales/England is probably because of the slow move West of the English over the last 30-odd years. Would have been interesting to compare with (say) 1970, but I doubt the data's available.

On the whole, the English don't move en masse to Scotland, save a few hippies and retirees to the Highlands and Islands - although there's a trickle of canny elders looking to avoid care fees.

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